Petrol Prices in Pakistan Expected to Drop from October 16
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Breaking News: Petrol Prices in Pakistan Expected to Drop from October 16

Petrol Prices in Pakistan Expected to Decrease from October 16, 2025

Good news for millions of motorists and transporters across Pakistan — petrol prices are likely to decrease significantly this week, providing long-awaited relief to consumers battling rising living costs.

According to official sources within the petroleum sector, the price of petrol is expected to drop by Rs. 6.10 per litre starting October 16, 2025, while high-speed diesel (HSD) may see a smaller reduction of 97 paisa per litre. The price of kerosene oil is also anticipated to decrease by Rs. 2.75 per litre, and light diesel oil (LDO) could become cheaper by Rs. 1.64 per litre.

If approved, this will mark one of the biggest downward revisions in petroleum prices in recent months — a move that will positively impact transportation, agriculture, and daily consumer goods costs nationwide.

OGRA Submits Summary for Price Revision

The Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) has already completed its price calculations for all petroleum products and submitted a detailed summary to the Petroleum Division earlier today.

Sources within OGRA confirmed that the new price recommendations are based on global oil market trends, where international crude prices have declined over the past two weeks. The regulator’s summary now awaits final approval from the Ministry of Finance after consultation with the Prime Minister’s Office.

Once approved, the revised prices will take effect from midnight, October 16, and remain applicable for the next fortnightly cycle.

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Government to Announce Final Decision on October 15 Evening

According to finance ministry officials, the Ministry of Finance will review OGRA’s recommendations and issue a formal notification after consulting with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif. The official announcement is expected to be made on the evening of October 15, confirming the new rates for petrol, diesel, and other petroleum products.

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A senior official stated:

“The government is committed to passing on the benefits of lower international oil prices to the public. Our priority is to maintain price stability while keeping inflation in check.”

This statement reflects the government’s ongoing effort to balance public relief and fiscal management, as petroleum levies play a key role in revenue generation.


Global Oil Prices and Their Impact on Pakistan

Internationally, Brent crude oil prices have seen a notable decline over the past two weeks due to increased global production and reduced demand from major economies. As a result, the import cost for Pakistani refineries has dropped, creating space for a domestic price adjustment.

Experts believe that if the Pakistani rupee continues to stabilize against the U.S. dollar, fuel prices could remain under control in the coming months. This adjustment will also provide breathing room for industries and logistics companies dependent on diesel and petrol.

In the longer term, the government aims to reduce reliance on imported petroleum through local exploration projects and the Pakistan Refinery Expansion Plan, which has been in progress since early 2025.


Positive Economic Outlook: Relief for Transport and Agriculture Sectors

The expected reduction in petrol prices in Pakistan is being hailed as a much-needed relief for the transport sector, which has faced mounting operational costs over the past year. Public transport operators and goods carriers will directly benefit, potentially reducing fares and freight charges.

Similarly, the agriculture sector, heavily reliant on diesel-powered machinery, will see a positive impact. Lower fuel prices will reduce cultivation and transportation costs, ultimately benefiting farmers and stabilizing food prices in local markets.

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This adjustment also comes at a crucial time when inflationary pressures have affected essential commodities. Analysts say this revision may slightly ease inflation rates for October 2025, which have remained in double digits for the past several months.

Pakistan’s Petroleum Pricing Mechanism

Petrol and diesel prices in Pakistan are revised fortnightly, based on global oil rates, exchange rate fluctuations, and local refinery costs. The Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) forwards its proposed summary to the Ministry of Energy (Petroleum Division), which reviews the data and sends it to the Ministry of Finance for final approval.

The final decision is made in consultation with the Prime Minister, ensuring that pricing adjustments align with fiscal targets and public affordability.

This process allows the government to quickly adapt to international market trends, passing on both increases and decreases to consumers in real time.

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Broader Economic Implications

A decline in fuel prices typically triggers a chain reaction across multiple sectors — from transportation and logistics to manufacturing and retail. Lower petrol and diesel costs can reduce the price of raw materials and finished goods, thereby improving consumer purchasing power.

However, energy experts caution that temporary global fluctuations can reverse quickly if geopolitical tensions rise or if OPEC+ members decide to reduce output again. The government, therefore, remains cautious about future volatility in the oil market.

Still, this week’s potential price drop will bring much-needed stability and may support the State Bank of Pakistan’s ongoing efforts to control inflation without tightening monetary policy further.

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Conclusion: Welcome Relief Ahead for Pakistani Consumers

If the proposed cuts are approved, petrol prices in Pakistan will drop by Rs. 6.10 per litre from October 16, 2025, marking a significant relief for millions of citizens. The decline in diesel, kerosene, and light diesel oil prices will further help control transportation costs and curb inflationary pressures.

For now, all eyes are on the Ministry of Finance’s official notification, expected late on October 15, which will finalize the new rates. Until then, consumers and industries alike are hopeful for an economic breather amid ongoing financial challenges.

This adjustment, although temporary, underscores the government’s effort to ensure that global oil price declines directly benefit the Pakistani public.

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